Which super PACs did David Shaw fund in 2020?

Priorities USA Action ($3.0M), Senate Majority PAC ($2.0M), House Majority PAC ($401K), DSCC ($74K), DCCC ($36K).

Which candidates did David Shaw's money end up backing or attacking in 2020?

against Donald Trump (President, about $1.4M, won); for Joe Biden (President, about $1.2M, won); against Thom Tilllis (North Carolina Senate, about $346K, lost). Amounts are the donor's share of each group's spending.

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Donor

David Shaw

Individual

Biomedical Research, D.E. Shaw Research · New York

200 gifts to 12 groups, as reported to the FEC by the groups that received them.

Mixed

David Shaw gave $5.5M to super PACs and other outside groups in the 2020 federal elections, and 100% of it helped Democrats (FEC filings through Dec 31, 2020). Counting dollars, not candidates, and only races already called, 64% ended up on the winning side ($3.4M won, $1.9M lost).

Gave to outside spenders

$5.5M

100% of it helped Democrats

Ended up on the winning side

64%

$3.4M of the dollars in races already called

Spent on the losing side

$1.9M

Not spent yet

$290K

Sitting with groups that have not spent

Where the cheques went

A person writing cheques from their own fortune. Each gift is split the way the group that received it split its spending between winners and losers, so a $10M cheque to a group that spent 80% on losers counts as $8M on the losing side.

✓ Backed the winner or attacked the loser ✗ Backed the loser or attacked the winner Result not matched

Group	Gave	Won / lost
Priorities USA Action $4K not spent yet	$3.0M	$2.5M / $451K
Senate Majority PAC $232K not spent yet	$2.0M	$736K / $1.0M
House Majority PAC $23K not spent yet	$401K	$69K / $307K
DSCC $28K not spent yet	$74K	$7K / $38K
DCCC	$36K	$6K / $30K
NRCC $193 not spent yet	$4K	$4K / $316
Republican National Committee $2K not spent yet	$2K	$0 / $65
NRSC $253 not spent yet	$1K	$606 / $415
Moveon.Org Political Action $92 not spent yet	$375	$201 / $82
American Hospital Association PAC $13 not spent yet	$250	$237 / $0
Ab PAC $15 not spent yet	$100	$73 / $12
Progressive Turnout Project $63 not spent yet	$75	$11 / $2

The trail

What the money bought

The candidates David Shaw's money was spent for or against, pro-rated by David Shaw's share of each group's funding.

Candidate	Race	Spending	Their share	Paid off?
Donald Trump	President	Attacking	$1.4M	✓ Yes
Joe Biden	President	Supporting	$1.2M	✓ Yes
Thom Tilllis	North Carolina Senate	Attacking	$346K	✗ No
Joni Ernst	Iowa Senate	Attacking	$275K	✗ No
Susan Margaret Collins	Maine Senate	Attacking	$274K	✗ No
John James	Michigan Senate (primary)	Attacking	$265K	✗ No
David A. Perdue	Georgia Senate	Attacking	$244K	✓ Yes
Cal Cunningham	North Carolina Senate	Supporting	$180K	✗ No
Martha McSally	Arizona Senate	Attacking	$174K	✓ Yes
Steve Daines	Montana Senate	Attacking	$138K	✗ No
John Cornyn	Texas Senate	Attacking	$66K	✗ No
Cory Gardner	Colorado Senate	Attacking	$60K	✓ Yes

Individual as classified from the FEC entity type and public reporting.

Questions people ask

How much did David Shaw spend on the 2020 elections, and did it win?: David Shaw gave $5.5M to super PACs and other outside groups in the 2020 federal elections, and 100% of it helped Democrats (FEC filings through Dec 31, 2020). Counting dollars, not candidates, and only races already called, 64% ended up on the winning side ($3.4M won, $1.9M lost).
Which super PACs did David Shaw fund in 2020?: Priorities USA Action ($3.0M), Senate Majority PAC ($2.0M), House Majority PAC ($401K), DSCC ($74K), DCCC ($36K).
Which candidates did David Shaw's money end up backing or attacking in 2020?: against Donald Trump (President, about $1.4M, won); for Joe Biden (President, about $1.2M, won); against Thom Tilllis (North Carolina Senate, about $346K, lost). Amounts are the donor's share of each group's spending.