Which super PACs did Majority Forward fund in 2020?

Senate Majority PAC ($51M), North Star ($7.1M), The Lincoln Project ($1.4M), Our Future United ($653K), Piedmont Rising ($140K).

Which candidates did Majority Forward's money end up backing or attacking in 2020?

against Dan Sullivan (Alaska Senate, about $6.9M, lost); against Thom Tilllis (North Carolina Senate, about $6.8M, lost); against John James (Michigan Senate, about $6.8M, lost). Amounts are the donor's share of each group's spending.

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Donor

Majority Forward

Dark money

22 gifts to 5 groups, as reported to the FEC by the groups that received them.

Mixed

Majority Forward gave $61M to super PACs and other outside groups in the 2020 federal elections, and 100% of it helped Democrats (FEC filings through Dec 31, 2020). 37% of the money with a result ended up on the winning side ($20M won, $34M lost).

Nonprofit arm of Senate Majority PAC. It does not disclose its donors.

Gave to outside spenders

$61M

100% of it helped Democrats

Ended up on the winning side

37%

$20M

Spent on the losing side

$34M

Not spent yet

$6.5M

Sitting with groups that have not spent

Where the trail ends

What the IRS sees

Majority Forward is a 501(c)(4) social welfare group based in Washington, DC. It files a Form 990 with the IRS every year that shows how much money it moves, but never who gave it. That is the whole point of routing money this way.

IRS filings on ProPublica →

Revenue, 2018

$28M

from donors it does not have to name

Spent, 2018

$9.7M

Assets at year end, 2018

$20M

Tax year	Revenue	Spent	Assets	Filing
2018	$28M	$9.7M	$20M	990 PDF
2019	filed, not yet digitised			990 PDF

The $61M it gave to super PACs in 2020 is 219% of what it took in during 2018, its latest year on file. The 990 lists what it spent on politics in a single line and leaves every donor blank.

Majority Forward also bought $689K of Google and YouTube ads under its own name this cycle. All ad buyers →

Where the cheques went

A nonprofit that does not have to say where its own money came from. The trail ends here. Each gift is split the way the group that received it split its spending between winners and losers, so a $10M cheque to a group that spent 80% on losers counts as $8M on the losing side.

✓ Backed the winner or attacked the loser ✗ Backed the loser or attacked the winner Result not matched

Group	Gave	Won / lost
Senate Majority PAC No outside spending reported yet	$51M	$19M / $27M
North Star No outside spending reported yet	$7.1M	$0 / $6.9M
The Lincoln Project No outside spending reported yet	$1.4M	$900K / $325K
Our Future United No outside spending reported yet	$653K	$109K / $352K
Piedmont Rising No outside spending reported yet	$140K	$0 / $32K

The trail

What the money bought

The candidates Majority Forward's money was spent for or against, pro-rated by Majority Forward's share of each group's funding.

Candidate	Race	Spending	Their share	Paid off?
Dan Sullivan	Alaska Senate	Attacking	$6.9M	✗ No
Thom Tilllis	North Carolina Senate	Attacking	$6.8M	✗ No
John James	Michigan Senate (primary)	Attacking	$6.8M	✗ No
Joni Ernst	Iowa Senate	Attacking	$6.7M	✗ No
David A. Perdue	Georgia Senate	Attacking	$6.2M	✓ Yes
Susan Margaret Collins	Maine Senate	Attacking	$5.5M	✗ No
Steve Daines	Montana Senate	Attacking	$3.3M	✗ No
Martha McSally	Arizona Senate	Attacking	$2.9M	✓ Yes
John Cornyn	Texas Senate	Attacking	$1.7M	✗ No
Theresa Greenfield	Iowa Senate (primary)	Supporting	$1.6M	✓ Yes
Cory Gardner	Colorado Senate	Attacking	$1.5M	✓ Yes
Lindsey Graham	South Carolina Senate	Attacking	$1.0M	✗ No

Dark money as classified from the FEC entity type and public reporting.

Questions people ask

How much did Majority Forward spend on the 2020 elections, and did it win?: Majority Forward gave $61M to super PACs and other outside groups in the 2020 federal elections, and 100% of it helped Democrats (FEC filings through Dec 31, 2020). 37% of the money with a result ended up on the winning side ($20M won, $34M lost).
Which super PACs did Majority Forward fund in 2020?: Senate Majority PAC ($51M), North Star ($7.1M), The Lincoln Project ($1.4M), Our Future United ($653K), Piedmont Rising ($140K).
Which candidates did Majority Forward's money end up backing or attacking in 2020?: against Dan Sullivan (Alaska Senate, about $6.9M, lost); against Thom Tilllis (North Carolina Senate, about $6.8M, lost); against John James (Michigan Senate, about $6.8M, lost). Amounts are the donor's share of each group's spending.