Which super PACs did David Shaw fund in 2022?

Senate Majority PAC ($1.5M), Priorities USA Action ($500K), House Majority PAC ($400K), DCCC ($73K), DSCC ($73K).

Which candidates did David Shaw's money end up backing or attacking in 2022?

against Mehmet Oz (Pennsylvania Senate, about $242K, won); for John K. Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senate, about $170K, won); against Blake Masters (Arizona Senate, about $156K, won). Amounts are the donor's share of each group's spending.

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Donor

David Shaw

Individual

Biomedical Research, D.E. Shaw Research · New York

43 gifts to 10 groups, as reported to the FEC by the groups that received them.

Winner

David Shaw gave $2.5M to super PACs and other outside groups in the 2022 federal elections, and 100% of it helped Democrats (FEC filings through Dec 31, 2022). Counting dollars, not candidates, and only races already called, 81% ended up on the winning side ($1.3M won, $306K lost).

Gave to outside spenders

$2.5M

100% of it helped Democrats

Ended up on the winning side

81%

$1.3M of the dollars in races already called

Spent on the losing side

$306K

Not spent yet

$948K

Sitting with groups that have not spent

Where the cheques went

A person writing cheques from their own fortune. Each gift is split the way the group that received it split its spending between winners and losers, so a $10M cheque to a group that spent 80% on losers counts as $8M on the losing side.

✓ Backed the winner or attacked the loser ✗ Backed the loser or attacked the winner Result not matched

Group	Gave	Won / lost
Senate Majority PAC $601K not spent yet	$1.5M	$687K / $213K
Priorities USA Action $222K not spent yet	$500K	$276K / $3K
House Majority PAC $69K not spent yet	$400K	$256K / $73K
DCCC $13K not spent yet	$73K	$46K / $14K
DSCC $40K not spent yet	$73K	$30K / $3K
NRCC	$600	$208 / $392
Congressional Leadership Fund $36 not spent yet	$315	$106 / $169
American Hospital Association PAC	$300	$300 / $0
The Lincoln Project $94 not spent yet	$100	$2 / $4
Moveon.Org Political Action $13 not spent yet	$15	$0 / $2

The trail

What the money bought

The candidates David Shaw's money was spent for or against, pro-rated by David Shaw's share of each group's funding.

Candidate	Race	Spending	Their share	Paid off?
Mehmet Oz	Pennsylvania Senate	Attacking	$242K	✓ Yes
John K. Fetterman	Pennsylvania Senate	Supporting	$170K	✓ Yes
Blake Masters	Arizona Senate	Attacking	$156K	✓ Yes
Adam Paul Laxalt	Nevada Senate	Attacking	$142K	✓ Yes
Ron Johnson	Wisconsin Senate (primary)	Attacking	$138K	✗ No
Mark Kelly	Arizona Senate (primary)	Supporting	$127K	✓ Yes
Ted Budd	North Carolina Senate	Attacking	$62K	✗ No
Catherine Cortez Masto	Nevada Senate	Supporting	$58K	✓ Yes
Donald C. Bolduc	New Hampshire Senate	Attacking	$51K	✓ Yes
Chuck Morse	New Hampshire Senate (primary)	Attacking	$18K	✓ Yes
Mark Robertson	Nevada 1st District	Attacking	$13K	✓ Yes
Cheri Beasley	North Carolina Senate	Supporting	$13K	✗ No

Individual as classified from the FEC entity type and public reporting.

Questions people ask

How much did David Shaw spend on the 2022 elections, and did it win?: David Shaw gave $2.5M to super PACs and other outside groups in the 2022 federal elections, and 100% of it helped Democrats (FEC filings through Dec 31, 2022). Counting dollars, not candidates, and only races already called, 81% ended up on the winning side ($1.3M won, $306K lost).
Which super PACs did David Shaw fund in 2022?: Senate Majority PAC ($1.5M), Priorities USA Action ($500K), House Majority PAC ($400K), DCCC ($73K), DSCC ($73K).
Which candidates did David Shaw's money end up backing or attacking in 2022?: against Mehmet Oz (Pennsylvania Senate, about $242K, won); for John K. Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senate, about $170K, won); against Blake Masters (Arizona Senate, about $156K, won). Amounts are the donor's share of each group's spending.