Which candidates did Justin Ishbia's money end up backing or attacking in 2022?

against Anna Paulina Luna (Florida 13th District, about $2.4M, lost); for Eric Lynn (Florida 13th District, about $1.2M, lost); for Eric Lynn (Florida 13th District, about $1.0M, won). Amounts are the donor's share of each group's spending.

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Donor

Justin Ishbia

Individual

Trust Manager · Illinois

2 reported gifts; 1 recipient group listed, as reported to the FEC by the groups that received them.

Backed losers

Justin Ishbia gave $5.0M to super PACs and other outside groups in the 2022 federal elections, and 100% of it helped Democrats (FEC filings with varying coverage dates; the most common larger-campaign cutoff is Dec 31, 2022). Among dollars with a matched election-stage result, 22% were on the winning side ($1.0M won, $3.6M lost). $0 had no matched result and is excluded.

Gave to outside spenders

$5.0M

100% of it helped Democrats

Winning share of scored dollars

22%

$4.6M scored (92% of gifts)

Spent on the losing side

$3.6M

Not allocated or result unknown

$423K

$423K not allocated to tracked outside spending; $0 has no matched result. Neither is cash on hand.

Where the checks went

A person writing checks from their own fortune. Each gift is split the way the group that received it split its spending between winners and losers, so a $10M check to a group that spent 80% on losers counts as $8M on the losing side.

✓ Backed the winner or attacked the loser ✗ Backed the loser or attacked the winner Result not matched

Group	Gave	How the group spent it	Won / lost
Progress Pinellas $423K not allocated to tracked outside spending	$5.0M		$1.0M / $3.6M

The trail

What the money bought

The candidates Justin Ishbia's money was spent for or against, pro-rated by Justin Ishbia's share of each group's funding.

Candidate	Race	Spending	Their share	Paid off?
Anna Paulina Luna	Florida 13th District	Attacking	$2.4M	✗ No
Eric Lynn	Florida 13th District	Supporting	$1.2M	✗ No
Eric Lynn	Florida 13th District (primary)	Supporting	$1.0M	✓ Yes

Individual as classified from the FEC entity type and public reporting.

Questions people ask

How much did Justin Ishbia spend on the 2022 elections, and did it win?: Justin Ishbia gave $5.0M to super PACs and other outside groups in the 2022 federal elections, and 100% of it helped Democrats (FEC filings with varying coverage dates; the most common larger-campaign cutoff is Dec 31, 2022). Among dollars with a matched election-stage result, 22% were on the winning side ($1.0M won, $3.6M lost). $0 had no matched result and is excluded.
Which super PACs did Justin Ishbia fund in 2022?: Progress Pinellas ($5.0M).
Which candidates did Justin Ishbia's money end up backing or attacking in 2022?: against Anna Paulina Luna (Florida 13th District, about $2.4M, lost); for Eric Lynn (Florida 13th District, about $1.2M, lost); for Eric Lynn (Florida 13th District, about $1.0M, won). Amounts are the donor's share of each group's spending.