Skip to content

← All Daily FTM posts

Daily FTM · The week in money

Outside groups reported $554M in the campaign's final week

In the last week of the 2026 campaign, outside groups reported $554M in general-election independent expenditures, 52% of it in Senate races. In California, committees opposing the billionaire tax raised about five times as much as the committee supporting it.

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · By the Follow The Money desk · 5 min read

In shortFEC 24- and 48-hour notices show outside groups reported $554M in general-election independent expenditures disseminated from October 27 to November 3, 2026, across 209 races and 390 groups. 81% of it was dated October 27 or 28, and Senate races drew 52%. Notices received from November 2 to November 6 listed another $35M, including amendments. In California, committees opposing Proposition 40, a one-time tax on billionaires, raised $170M, compared with $33M for the committee supporting it, which also opposed Propositions 41 and 42; the measure was behind in the unofficial count. The figures are preliminary until post-general reports due December 3, and they show spending, not its effect on any result.

This was the week of the November 3 election, and the biggest money story in the records was the last stretch of campaign spending. Three things stand out in the records: how much outside groups reported in the final week, how much of it went to a handful of Senate races, and the most expensive fight on California's ballot. At the end, the essays we published this week and the week ahead.

Preliminary dataOutside spending after October 14 shows up only in the 24- and 48-hour notices groups file as they spend. The FEC file we read was retrieved November 8 and holds notices received through November 6. Full post-general reports are due December 3, and these figures will change.

1. The final week: $554M

From October 27 to November 3, 2026, outside groups reported $554M in general-election independent expenditures, spread across 209 races and 390 groups. That is part of $1.20B dated in the last fifteen days of the campaign.

The timing is the surprise. More than three-quarters of the final week's money, 81%, is dated October 27 or October 28. The last three days, November 1 to 3, account for $15M. That does not by itself mean groups stopped spending: a notice is dated when a communication is first distributed, so one that runs for days can show up once, on the day it starts.

Exhibit 1

Most final-week money was dated October 27 or 28

Tue, Oct 20
$263M
Wed, Oct 21
$172M
Thu, Oct 22
$49M
Fri, Oct 23
$78M
Sat, Oct 24
$34M
Sun, Oct 25
$12M
Mon, Oct 26
$36M
Tue, Oct 27
$253M
Wed, Oct 28
$198M
Thu, Oct 29
$46M
Fri, Oct 30
$28M
Sat, Oct 31
$13M
Sun, Nov 1
$9.3M
Mon, Nov 2
$4.7M
Tue, Nov 3
$1.3M
General-election independent expenditures by dissemination date, October 20 to November 3, 2026; preliminary. Darker bars are the final week. Amended filings replace the ones they amend; refunds are netted. Source: FEC independent-expenditure file, retrieved November 8.

2. Where it went: the Senate

Senate races drew 52% of the final week's outside money, $288M, though they were 35 of the 470 federal races on the ballot. The eight races that drew the most were all Senate contests. The biggest spenders were House Majority PAC ($90M), WinSenate ($60M), Senate Leadership Fund ($51M) and Congressional Leadership Fund ($41M).

America PAC reported $18M in the final week. Separately, its FEC receipts show Elon Musk gave it $178M this cycle, through October 14. Super PAC money is pooled, so the records cannot tie his gifts to any particular expenditure.

Exhibit 2

The eight races that drew the most final-week money were all Senate seats

General-election independent expenditures disseminated October 27 to November 3, 2026; preliminary. Totals combine spending for and against every candidate in the race; they are not one side's money. Source: FEC independent-expenditure file, retrieved November 8.

3. Still arriving: $35M

Notices kept landing through and after Election Day. Filings the FEC received from November 2 to November 6 list $35M across 2,170 lines, including amendments to earlier notices. The complete picture, with each group's receipts as well as its spending, arrives with the post-general reports on December 3.

4. California: $170M against one tax

California voters decided 14 statewide measures on November 3. The 28 committees working on them raised $773M by the state's latest export. The costliest fight was Proposition 40, a one-time tax on billionaires. Committees opposing it raised $170M, about five times the $33M raised by the committee supporting it. The largest single source on the No side was Building a Better California, which gave $159M. The Yes committee also campaigned against Propositions 41 and 42, so not all of its money was about Proposition 40.

In the unofficial count, Proposition 40 was behind. Ballots are still being counted, and the state certifies results by December 11.

Exhibit 3

Proposition 40: about $5 raised against it for every $1 raised for it

Opposing committees
$170M
Supporting committee
$33M
Money raised by ballot committees, January 1, 2025 to the Cal-Access export of November 7, 2026; preliminary. The Yes committee also opposed Propositions 41 and 42. Sources: Cal-Access bulk export and the FPPC committee list, via our ballot measures page.

This week on Daily FTM

The week ahead

November 9: Congress returns for the lame-duck session. Stopgap funding runs out on December 11, and the year-end agenda includes spending bills, the defense bill, a tax package and health credits. Our lobbying pages and federal contracts tab show which companies report lobbying on those subjects.

Further out: the Georgia runoff on December 1 and the FEC post-general reports on December 3.

What this does and doesn't show

These records show when outside groups said their independent expenditures were first distributed, how much they reported, and in which races. They do not show whether any of it changed a result, and this roundup makes no such claim. Race totals combine money for and against each candidate. Notices filed late or amended after November 6 are not here, and spending that does not have to be reported as an independent expenditure (party coordinated spending, issue ads by nonprofits) is not counted at all. California figures are money raised, not spent, and the vote count is unofficial.

$554M

general-election independent expenditures disseminated October 27 to November 3

52%

of that final-week money went to Senate races

$170M

raised by committees opposing California's billionaire tax, vs $33M for it

Share this, or ask an AI to check it

Go deeper

Sources. FEC bulk files for the 2025–26 cycle (candidate summary, committee summary, independent expenditures, individual contributions), through the pre-general reports and topped up with later e-filings; race calls refreshed every three hours. Outside reporting is linked where it is used.

Every transaction described here was publicly reported. The records alone do not establish illegality, improper coordination, donor motive or a quid pro quo. Found an error? Write to corrections@followthemoney.ai or see corrections.

RSS feed · All Daily FTM posts