Winners & losers

Who backed the winners in 2024, and who lost the most

Every super PAC, donor and PAC ranked by how much of its money ended up on the winning side. A dollar counts as a win if it backed the candidate who won or attacked one who lost. Win rates count called races only.

Biggest loser

$496M

Future Forward (FF PAC), on losing sides (0% win rate)

Biggest winner

$155M

America PAC, on winning sides (95% win rate)

Outside money on losers

$1.78B

51% of $3.53B in called races

Races called

470 / 470

Final results

Super PACs and outside groups

Who backed the winners, who wasted the most

Groups that spent on their own to help or attack candidates, with at least $1M in called races. Ranked by dollars on their side.
All super PACs →
✓ Backed the winner or attacked the loser ✗ Backed the loser or attacked the winner Result not matched

Backed the winners

  1. 1America PAC$155M
    Backed by Elon Musk95% win rate · of $163M called
  2. 2Senate Leadership Fund$150M
    Backed by Senate Republican leadership71% win rate · of $211M called
  3. 3Congressional Leadership Fund$121M
    Backed by House Republican leadership56% win rate · of $214M called
  4. 4Preserve America PAC$112M
    Backed by Miriam Adelson100% win rate · of $112M called
  5. 5House Majority PAC$103M
    Backed by House Democratic leadership54% win rate · of $190M called
  6. 6Right for America$69M
    99% win rate · of $70M called
  7. 7Americans for Prosperity Action$66M
    Backed by Koch network60% win rate · of $110M called
  8. 8American Crossroads$60M
    100% win rate · of $60M called
  9. 9MAGA Inc.$58M
    Backed by Pro-Trump super PAC100% win rate · of $58M called
  10. 10Defend American Jobs$55M
    Backed by Crypto industry100% win rate · of $55M called

Backed the losers

  1. 1Future Forward (FF PAC)$496M
    Backed by Pro-Harris super PAC0% win rate · of $496M called
  2. 2WinSenate$186M
    Backed by Senate Democrats' allies40% win rate · of $311M called
  3. 3Ab PAC$59M
    0% win rate · of $59M called
  4. 4Republican Accountability PAC$37M
    0% win rate · of $37M called
  5. 5Win It Back PAC$36M
    30% win rate · of $51M called
  6. 6NRCC$36M
    Backed by House Republicans' party committee29% win rate · of $51M called
  7. 7Last Best Place PAC$34M
    0% win rate · of $34M called
  8. 8Maryland's Future$27M
    0% win rate · of $27M called
  9. 9Blackpac$24M
    12% win rate · of $28M called
  10. 10Lcv Victory Fund$22M
    43% win rate · of $39M called

Networks

Groups added up by who is behind them

Some backers split their spending across several super PACs. Here each network's groups are added together, so it ranks as one.

Backed the winners

  1. 1Republican machine$556M
    MAGA Inc. · Congressional Leadership Fund · Senate Leadership Fund · Americans for Prosperity Action · Preserve America PAC · SFA Fund · NRCC · Restoration PAC · Never Back Down · NRSC67% win rate · of $825M called

    10 groups combined

  2. 2Elon Musk$175M
    America PAC · RBG PAC95% win rate · of $184M called

    2 groups combined

  3. 3Crypto industry$103M
    Defend American Jobs · Fairshake · Protect Progress92% win rate · of $112M called

    3 groups combined

  4. 4AIPAC$15M
    United Democracy Project74% win rate · of $20M called

Backed the losers

  1. 1Democratic machine$819M
    Future Forward (FF PAC) · WinSenate · House Majority PAC · DCCC · DSCC · Priorities USA Action26% win rate · of $1.11B called

    6 groups combined

People, companies and dark money

The donors behind them

Each donor's money is split the way the groups they funded spent theirs. At least $1M in called races.
All donors →

Backed the winners

  1. 1Elon Musk$122M
    Individual · tech94% win rate · of $130M called

    Gave $211M in all

  2. 2Miriam Adelson$121M
    Individual · vice95% win rate · of $128M called

    Gave $138M in all

  3. 3Ken Griffin$33M
    Individual · finance54% win rate · of $61M called

    Gave $88M in all

  4. 4Richard Uihlein$32M
    Individual · agri76% win rate · of $42M called

    Gave $114M in all

  5. 5Timothy Mellon$28M
    Individual · finance83% win rate · of $34M called

    Gave $196M in all

  6. 6Paul Singer$26M
    Individual · finance67% win rate · of $39M called

    Gave $62M in all

  7. 7Building America's Future$24M
    Company / nonprofit100% win rate · of $24M called

    Gave $24M in all

  8. 8American Action Network$21M
    Dark money56% win rate · of $38M called

    Gave $43M in all

  9. 9Elon Musk Revocable Trust$20M
    Company / nonprofit100% win rate · of $20M called

    Gave $21M in all

  10. 10House Majority Forward$18M
    Dark money54% win rate · of $34M called

    Gave $47M in all

Backed the losers

  1. 1Future Forward USA Action$236M
    Dark money0% win rate · of $236M called

    Gave $266M in all

  2. 2Dustin Moskovitz$44M
    Individual · tech0% win rate · of $44M called

    Gave $50M in all

  3. 3Majority Forward$37M
    Dark money2% win rate · of $38M called

    Gave $45M in all

  4. 4Michael Bloomberg$22M
    Individual · media25% win rate · of $30M called

    Gave $39M in all

  5. 5AB Foundation$20M
    Company / nonprofit1% win rate · of $20M called

    Gave $34M in all

  6. 6Reid Hoffman$19M
    Individual · tech8% win rate · of $20M called

    Gave $27M in all

  7. 7League of Conservation Voters, Inc.$13M
    Company / nonprofit42% win rate · of $22M called

    Gave $49M in all

  8. 8Sixteen Thirty Fund$13M
    Dark money7% win rate · of $14M called

    Gave $18M in all

  9. 9Fred Eychaner$11M
    Individual27% win rate · of $15M called

    Gave $18M in all

  10. 10Christian Larsen$10M
    Individual · crypto1% win rate · of $10M called

    Gave $12M in all

PAC checks

PACs that paid candidates directly

Checks straight to campaigns, at least $100K to called races. Most PAC money goes to incumbents, who usually win, so high win rates are normal here and a losing record stands out.
All PACs →

Backed the winners

  1. 1National Association of Realtors Political Action Committee$3.8M
    Membership · National Association of Realtors97% win rate · of $4.0M called

    423 of 439 called candidates won

  2. 2National Beer Wholesalers Association Political Action Committee$2.5M
    Trade group · National Beer Wholesalers Association97% win rate · of $2.6M called

    380 of 394 called candidates won

  3. 3American Crystal Sugar Company Political Action Committee$2.5M
    Corporate · American Crystal Sugar Compay96% win rate · of $2.6M called

    294 of 306 called candidates won

  4. 4American Israel Public Affairs Committee Political Action Committee$2.5M
    Membership97% win rate · of $2.5M called

    290 of 300 called candidates won

  5. 5National Automobile Dealers Association Political Action Committee$2.3M
    Trade group · National Automobile Dealers Association96% win rate · of $2.4M called

    316 of 330 called candidates won

  6. 6America's Credit Unions PAC of Credit Union National Association, Inc.$2.2M
    Trade group · Credit Union National Association, Inc.97% win rate · of $2.3M called

    368 of 380 called candidates won

  7. 7American Bankers Association PAC (Bankpac)$2.2M
    Trade group · American Bankers Association (Aba)97% win rate · of $2.3M called

    339 of 351 called candidates won

  8. 8American Council of Engineering Companies (Acec/PAC)$1.9M
    Trade group · American Council of Engineering Companies94% win rate · of $2.0M called

    289 of 304 called candidates won

  9. 9National Air Traffic Controllers Association PAC$1.9M
    Union · National Air Traffic Controllers Association94% win rate · of $2.0M called

    301 of 316 called candidates won

  10. 10American Federation of State County & Municipal Employees P E O P L E$1.9M
    Union · American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, AFL-CIO88% win rate · of $2.1M called

    216 of 251 called candidates won

Backed the losers

  1. 1Jstreetpac$1.2M
    Membership · J Street47% win rate · of $2.3M called

    123 of 145 called candidates won

  2. 2Team Rogers$418K
    Other0% win rate · of $418K called

    0 of 1 called candidates won

  3. 3NRSC$367K
    Party · Young Victory Committee46% win rate · of $684K called

    6 of 14 called candidates won

  4. 4DSCC$173K
    Party · Colorado Senate Victory 201625% win rate · of $231K called

    1 of 4 called candidates won

  5. 5Welcomepac$153K
    Super PAC21% win rate · of $194K called

    3 of 13 called candidates won

  6. 6The Guardian Fund$105K
    Leadership PAC · Rep. Jack Bergman35% win rate · of $161K called

    15 of 35 called candidates won

  7. 7Jam PAC$81K
    Leadership PAC39% win rate · of $131K called

    17 of 40 called candidates won

  8. 8Restoring Our Nation PAC$73K
    Leadership PAC · Team Estes38% win rate · of $116K called

    14 of 33 called candidates won

  9. 9New Majority Federal PAC$65K
    Membership40% win rate · of $108K called

    7 of 17 called candidates won

How this is scored: money is matched to the candidate it backed or attacked, then to the race result. Primary spending counts as a win if the backed candidate made the November ballot. Money in uncalled races, and money we could not match to a result, is shown in the bar but left out of the win rate. Full methodology.