Winners & losers

Who backed the winners in 2020, and who lost the most

Every super PAC, donor and PAC ranked by how much of its money ended up on the winning side. A dollar counts as a win if it backed the candidate who won or attacked one who lost. Win rates count called races only.

Biggest loser

$134M

Senate Majority PAC, on losing sides (42% win rate)

Biggest winner

$164M

Senate Leadership Fund, on winning sides (56% win rate)

Outside money on losers

$1.47B

48% of $3.07B in called races

Races called

471 / 471

Final results

Super PACs and outside groups

Who backed the winners, who wasted the most

Groups that spent on their own to help or attack candidates, with at least $1M in called races. Ranked by dollars on their side.
All super PACs →
✓ Backed the winner or attacked the loser ✗ Backed the loser or attacked the winner Result not matched

Backed the winners

  1. Backed by Senate Republican leadership56% win rate · of $293M called
  2. Backed by Pro-Biden super PAC85% win rate · of $139M called
  3. Backed by House Republican leadership84% win rate · of $132M called
  4. Backed by Pro-Harris super PAC89% win rate · of $116M called
  5. 5NRSC$72M
    Backed by Senate Republicans' party committee59% win rate · of $121M called
  6. 6NRCC$71M
    Backed by House Republicans' party committee92% win rate · of $78M called
  7. Backed by Michael Bloomberg100% win rate · of $56M called
  8. 86% win rate · of $61M called
  9. 97% win rate · of $39M called
  10. 73% win rate · of $49M called

Backed the losers

  1. Backed by Senate Democratic leadership42% win rate · of $230M called
  2. Backed by Pro-Trump super PAC0% win rate · of $134M called
  3. Backed by House Democratic leadership18% win rate · of $138M called
  4. Backed by Sheldon and Miriam Adelson0% win rate · of $103M called
  5. 5DSCC$77M
    Backed by Senate Democrats' party committee16% win rate · of $91M called
  6. 6DCCC$75M
    Backed by House Democrats' party committee17% win rate · of $91M called
  7. 39% win rate · of $79M called
  8. 0% win rate · of $38M called
  9. 50% win rate · of $57M called
  10. 21% win rate · of $34M called

Networks

Groups added up by who is behind them

Some backers split their spending across several super PACs. Here each network's groups are added together, so it ranks as one.

Backed the winners

  1. Senate Majority PAC · House Majority PAC · Priorities USA Action · Future Forward (FF PAC) · DSCC · DCCC · Independence USA PAC · Georgia Honor50% win rate · of $880M called

    8 groups combined

Backed the losers

  1. Senate Leadership Fund · Congressional Leadership Fund · America First Action · NRSC · Preserve America PAC · NRCC · Americans for Prosperity Action · Restoration PAC48% win rate · of $933M called

    8 groups combined

People, companies and dark money

The donors behind them

Each donor's money is split the way the groups they funded spent theirs. At least $1M in called races.
All donors →

Backed the winners

  1. Individual · media79% win rate · of $115M called

    Gave $142M in all

  2. Dark money89% win rate · of $47M called

    Gave $61M in all

  3. Individual · tech87% win rate · of $38M called

    Gave $50M in all

  4. Company / nonprofit86% win rate · of $32M called

    Gave $34M in all

  5. Individual · finance54% win rate · of $44M called

    Gave $66M in all

  6. Dark money73% win rate · of $31M called

    Gave $47M in all

  7. Company / nonprofit70% win rate · of $33M called

    Gave $52M in all

  8. Dark money84% win rate · of $24M called

    Gave $30M in all

  9. Individual · finance53% win rate · of $29M called

    Gave $44M in all

  10. Individual · finance89% win rate · of $12M called

    Gave $52M in all

Backed the losers

  1. Individual · vice34% win rate · of $87M called

    Gave $108M in all

  2. Individual · vice34% win rate · of $87M called

    Gave $108M in all

  3. Individual · agri25% win rate · of $51M called

    Gave $65M in all

  4. Individual · finance46% win rate · of $52M called

    Gave $70M in all

  5. Dark money35% win rate · of $40M called

    Gave $61M in all

  6. Company / nonprofit0% win rate · of $19M called

    Gave $22M in all

  7. Individual6% win rate · of $15M called

    Gave $18M in all

  8. Individual · agri25% win rate · of $17M called

    Gave $20M in all

  9. Company / nonprofit26% win rate · of $16M called

    Gave $26M in all

  10. Individual · finance48% win rate · of $21M called

    Gave $30M in all

PAC checks

PACs that paid candidates directly

Checks straight to campaigns, at least $100K to called races. Most PAC money goes to incumbents, who usually win, so high win rates are normal here and a losing record stands out.
All PACs →

Backed the winners

  1. Membership · California Real Estate Political Action Committee95% win rate · of $3.7M called

    429 of 449 called candidates won

  2. Trade group · National Beer Wholesalers Association96% win rate · of $2.9M called

    383 of 399 called candidates won

  3. Corporate · Comcast Corporation97% win rate · of $2.5M called

    353 of 363 called candidates won

  4. Trade group · Credit Union National Association94% win rate · of $2.6M called

    382 of 403 called candidates won

  5. Corporate94% win rate · of $2.5M called

    281 of 303 called candidates won

  6. Trade group · Arkansas Bankers Association PAC Inc.96% win rate · of $2.4M called

    322 of 337 called candidates won

  7. Corporate · At&T Inc.97% win rate · of $2.4M called

    352 of 362 called candidates won

  8. Trade group · National Automobile Dealers Association95% win rate · of $2.3M called

    294 of 315 called candidates won

  9. Union · National Air Traffic Controllers Association95% win rate · of $2.1M called

    328 of 347 called candidates won

  10. Leadership PAC · Mccarthy Victory Fund85% win rate · of $2.3M called

    197 of 233 called candidates won

Backed the losers

  1. 1Winred$8.8M
    Super PAC43% win rate · of $16M called

    147 of 205 called candidates won

  2. Party · Dollars for Democrats20% win rate · of $784K called

    9 of 27 called candidates won

  3. Other12% win rate · of $698K called

    7 of 10 called candidates won

  4. 4DSCC$446K
    Party · Colorado Senate Victory 201625% win rate · of $595K called

    3 of 12 called candidates won

  5. Other45% win rate · of $795K called

    43 of 99 called candidates won

  6. Other0% win rate · of $414K called

    0 of 1 called candidates won

  7. 7DCCC$400K
    Party43% win rate · of $698K called

    68 of 120 called candidates won

  8. Leadership PAC44% win rate · of $565K called

    41 of 90 called candidates won

  9. Other46% win rate · of $557K called

    53 of 108 called candidates won

  10. Other45% win rate · of $540K called

    28 of 65 called candidates won

How this is scored: money is matched to the candidate it backed or attacked, then to the race result. Primary spending counts as a win if the backed candidate made the November ballot. Money in uncalled races, and money we could not match to a result, is shown in the bar but left out of the win rate. Full methodology.